Did an Early API Launch Help Foursquare Outpace Gowalla?

Early adopters have seen this before — friend invites from “normals” pouring in (Facebook, 2008), big brands arriving (Twitter, 2009) and servers failing as a team struggles to scale (Twitter, 2006–2010) — yes, Foursquare is blowing up and even going mass.  Given the explosion of smartphones, a “location-based service” taking off is hardly surprising.   What has made Foursquare’s ascent noteworthy, even suspenseful, has been its race with Gowalla.  The competition between the two has been well-covered in the tech media and deservedly so:  though one is in New York and the other in Austin they do pretty much the same thing and launched around the same time – it appeared to be an even match.  Now however, Foursquare appears to be pulling away – fourteen or so months after launch, it has attracted 2 Million users while Gowalla has only 340,000.  Although it may be too soon to declare a winner, it isn’t too early to look at why this is happening.  While there are many differences worth examining, a recent visit to the Foursquare app store has made me wonder if Foursquare’s early release of its API has given them a meaningful boost.

For those unfamiliar, APIs (Application Programming Interfaces) allow outside developers to quickly build additional services using the data and functionality of an OS, application or website.  Sometimes the APIs carry a cost to use though often they’re free of charge.  For a new site, releasing APIs enables what Caterina Fake, co-founder of Flickr, called “BizDev 2.0” – a fast, mostly lawyer-free way to turn a service into a platform.  When building an audience any network effects help and while the focus is often on users attracting other users, APIs provide their own value.  API development can spread awareness to new users, increase engagement with additional functionality and yield entirely new use cases.  Those are pretty distinct competitive advantages and ones that a startup should obviously embrace.  In the case of Foursquare vs. Gowalla, Foursquare did it first.

Foursquare officially launched their API in November 2009 (after having already worked with developers to launch ten apps) three months before Gowalla launched theirs.  On the face of it this first-mover advantage appears to have paid off handsomely – while Gowalla has yet to publish a list of apps, Foursquare now lists 42 apps in their app store including gamescheck-in enhancements, clients and a service that allows users to track venues by gender ratio.  Although it doesn’t yet appear that any of the apps have been widely embraced, like, say, Tweetdeck for Twitter, behind all them are API-evangelists.  The developers are out there promoting their work, explaining Foursquare to their moms and generally rooting on Foursquare’s success. While the developers might eventually work with both APIs, being first to feed the hunger for location data has most certainly helped Foursquare capture developer attention to the detriment of Gowalla – these influencers had signed onto Foursquare before Gowalla even fielded a team.  In a quick sprint for supremacy this advantage may have been the deciding factor.

There are, of course, some unanswered questions:  Exactly how much incremental usage has the API generated and are the network effects of all of these apps just a blip compared to, say, the larger social graphs (to say nothing of the more frequent boozing) of New Yorkers vs. Hill Country Texans?  Can Gowalla catch up or overtake Foursquare through an even more-aggressive approach to their API or, for that matter, through some other means?  Answering these questions, asking more and getting a fix on an API ROI will yield considerable benefits for internet entrepreneurs.  We’re watching in real-time as the market determines a winner in Location Based Services – a likely b-school case study in the making – and following closely as these companies maneuver will be incredibly informative for start-ups in any category.

  • http://www.adrianscott.org/ Adrian Scott

    interesting hypothesis, would love to see any relevant metrics. i would bet against this being a major cause of their differing metrics, but would welcome seeing data indicating otherwise. thanks for the post!

  • jpmarcum

    Thanks for the comment! Agree that the metrics are key to answering the question and apart from the simple tally of apps I don't yet have them. Ideally I think you'd want to look at these:
    1. Impact, if any, of individual and aggregate apps on Foursquare's viral coefficient.
    2. New sign-up referrals from the apps
    3. Dup/Undup'd users across the platforms
    4. Check-ins and other engagement metrics from the apps (for example, assisted serendipity is all about email)
    5. Media impressions from app coverage (i know, sounds squishy but it all helps)
    Any others? I'll ping Foursquare to see what of this they're tracking/willing to share and if possible update the post.

    I honestly don't know whether it has been a major cause or not – until we see some data on it and alternative causes (more appealing badging/mayor nomenclature? the fred wilson promo value? people don't like orange?) I think everything should be considered.

  • Keen Observer

    has anyone ever mentioned that you look a lot like jason statham?

  • jpmarcum

    Why that *is* a keen observation. It's apparently a bit of an open secret that Statham is in discussions to play me in the upcoming feature adaptation of marcum.com. Directed by Guy Ritchie, “Wordpress the Trigger”, will follow the heroics of a rough-and-tumble blogger as he gets in scrapes with grammar, chases buzzwords and plots an enormous cliché heist. Opening on a flight near you, summer 2011.

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Entrepreneur/Exec, resident of Dogpatch Labs NY. Founder of the NY Data Visualization Meetup. Projects-in-progress: tal.ly, FatDrop.pr & KidMango.com. Ex-Yahoo! GM. On Twitter @jpmarcum.

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  • user

    @jpmarcum who funds these experiments? my hope is someone very rich...

    5:59 PM May 15th

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    @mikeyavo ayup. it's just probably for the best that no one ever market the inventory based on "engagement" or CTR. def credibility killer

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    @jpmarcum I hate it but it is happening intentionally

    2:27 PM May 15th

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